Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -4.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +14 (125-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 10-22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 13-21 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 31 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 28 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 38 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 38 | 11-24 | 3-10 | 9-10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 33 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 17 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 14 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter