Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | -4.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -12 (105-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 38 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 36 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 30 | 7-20 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 31 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 29 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle * | 22 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 25 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 15 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter