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2025-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 39.1% 60.9% -
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% -
Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +20 (123-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 38 15-29 2-6 5-5 5 6 0 0 37 - -
Oso Ighodaro * 32 6-8 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 12 - -
Bradley Beal * 30 0-7 0-3 1-2 4 5 3 1 1 - -
Royce O'Neale * 29 4-11 4-10 0-0 6 2 0 0 12 - -
Ryan Dunn * 24 2-8 1-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Tyus Jones 20 5-9 2-4 0-0 1 6 2 0 12 - -
Grayson Allen 16 3-6 1-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Cody Martin 15 1-4 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 1 4 - -
Nick Richards 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 4 - -
Collin Gillespie 12 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Damion Lee 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bol Bol 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Vasilije Micić 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 34 9-18 1-8 4-5 8 8 1 1 23 - -
Derrick White * 32 4-9 4-8 0-0 9 7 0 0 12 - -
Jaylen Brown * 28 10-16 3-4 8-9 5 3 0 0 31 - -
Jrue Holiday * 28 1-3 0-1 2-2 5 2 0 1 4 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 23 5-12 2-5 3-4 4 1 0 1 15 - -
Al Horford 24 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 7 - -
Payton Pritchard 22 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 10 - -
Sam Hauser 21 2-6 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Luke Kornet 15 5-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Jordan Walsh 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Baylor Scheierman 1 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Neemias Queta 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Drew Peterson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Xavier Tillman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter