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2025-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% - βœ—
Margin 59.3% 40.7% -2.1 βœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - βœ“
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.7% 40.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 51.8% 48.2% - βœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -7 (116-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 36 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 2 3 0 11 - -
Brandin Podziemski * 35 10-17 8-10 0-0 8 6 1 0 28 - -
Stephen Curry * 34 10-21 4-11 13-14 3 6 0 0 37 - -
Draymond Green * 33 3-9 2-4 0-2 11 5 0 1 8 - -
Moses Moody * 28 3-7 3-6 4-4 2 3 0 0 13 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 25 7-12 1-3 3-5 9 4 0 1 18 - -
Quinten Post 14 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Buddy Hield 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Gui Santos 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Kevon Looney 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 40 10-20 9-16 2-3 6 3 1 0 31 - -
LeBron James * 39 10-15 5-8 8-9 5 9 1 1 33 - -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 37 6-17 0-6 7-7 8 7 0 1 19 - -
Rui Hachimura * 33 9-15 3-6 3-4 6 3 0 0 24 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 29 1-6 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Gabe Vincent 17 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Jordan Goodwin 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter