Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (108-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 6-23 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 11-22 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 29 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 26 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 12-23 | 4-7 | 7-7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 11-26 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 37 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter