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2025-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 69.8% 30.2% -
Bradley-Terry 72.1% 27.9% -
Margin 85.5% 14.5% -9.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 66.2% 33.8% -
Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Log Adjusted 79.5% 20.5% -
Points Off/Def 68.9% 31.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -12 (97-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 38 11-24 3-5 8-10 18 8 0 1 33 - -
Franz Wagner * 33 10-19 3-7 4-4 5 5 1 0 27 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 32 3-4 1-2 6-6 3 5 2 1 13 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 30 5-9 0-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 10 - -
Cory Joseph * 25 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Anthony Black 22 3-10 0-3 0-1 3 4 1 2 6 - -
Gary Harris 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Cole Anthony 14 2-5 2-5 2-2 1 0 0 1 8 - -
Jonathan Isaac 13 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 2 4 - -
Caleb Houstan 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bub Carrington * 36 12-18 7-10 1-1 9 7 0 0 32 - -
Alex Sarr * 32 4-16 0-5 2-2 6 6 1 0 10 - -
AJ Johnson * 28 4-10 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 1 11 - -
Marcus Smart * 24 4-7 2-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Justin Champagnie * 23 4-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 8 - -
Colby Jones 36 3-8 0-4 0-0 7 0 1 0 6 - -
Jaylen Martin 21 2-7 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Anthony Gill 21 2-6 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Tristan Vukcevic 14 3-7 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 7 - -

* = starter