Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.2 | β (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -7 (106-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 32 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 23 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 20 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 20 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 39 | 11-25 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson * | 29 | 7-20 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Vlatko ΔanΔar | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 23 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 19 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dario Ε ariΔ | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter