Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | β (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (120-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 40 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 39 | 8-20 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 32 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 14 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 24 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 15 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 29 | 14-23 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 34 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 29 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 25 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 21 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter