Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +16 (119-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder * | 39 | 6-18 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 37 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 33 | 4-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 10-26 | 2-7 | 11-12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 33 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 33 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-5 | 8-9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter