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2025-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% -
Bradley-Terry 62.7% 37.3% -
Margin 76.4% 23.6% -6.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 66.4% 33.6% -
Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% -
Log Adjusted 80.7% 19.3% -
Points Off/Def 69.8% 30.2% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 10-23 1-5 8-12 7 8 0 1 29 - -
Keegan Murray * 35 7-14 4-10 0-0 5 3 2 1 18 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 8-15 1-3 1-1 16 7 1 0 18 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 5-13 2-7 6-7 2 2 0 0 18 - -
Keon Ellis * 22 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 3 1 2 - -
Malik Monk 34 4-13 2-9 3-4 3 3 2 0 13 - -
Trey Lyles 17 0-3 0-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 12 5-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 12 - -
Markelle Fultz 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bub Carrington * 41 6-13 5-11 2-2 2 7 0 0 19 - -
AJ Johnson * 36 7-14 2-6 3-4 2 6 1 0 19 - -
Justin Champagnie * 30 4-8 0-3 0-2 11 3 2 1 8 - -
Alex Sarr * 25 6-9 3-5 0-0 4 1 1 1 15 - -
Jordan Poole * 24 8-14 2-7 5-5 2 2 0 0 23 - -
Anthony Gill 31 4-10 2-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 10 - -
JT Thor 26 1-2 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 - -
Tristan Vukcevic 22 6-13 2-4 3-5 8 3 0 1 17 - -
Richaun Holmes 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter