Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -1 (139-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 50 | 12-25 | 5-15 | 5-7 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 49 | 11-22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 43 | 5-17 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 39 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 36 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 44 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 5-7 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 12 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Clark | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rob Dillingham | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 53 | 8-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 52 | 18-29 | 6-11 | 19-24 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 61 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 46 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 8-10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 45 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett * | 32 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 38 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter