Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -9 (125-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 38 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 12-12 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 29 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 16-31 | 12-20 | 8-8 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 52 | 45 | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 35 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 20 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Quinten Post | 19 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - | |
| Gui Santos | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 35 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 33 | 14-22 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 25 | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 24 | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 7-20 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 30 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter