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2025-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - βœ—
Margin 67.0% 33.0% -3.9 βœ— (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - βœ—
Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 53.8% 46.2% - βœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +6 (104-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 39 2-14 1-7 2-3 4 9 0 0 7 - -
Dillon Brooks * 35 5-14 3-9 3-4 5 1 1 1 16 - -
Alperen Sengun * 34 5-11 0-0 4-4 7 6 0 1 14 - -
Amen Thompson * 33 8-14 1-3 3-4 5 4 2 2 20 - -
Jalen Green * 30 4-13 1-4 0-0 9 5 1 1 9 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. 27 6-10 3-6 0-0 11 1 1 0 15 - -
Tari Eason 21 6-11 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 13 - -
Steven Adams 15 1-2 0-1 2-2 7 0 1 0 4 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 38 5-11 0-3 2-2 8 3 2 0 12 - -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 38 6-16 1-7 7-9 6 9 2 0 20 - -
LeBron James * 37 5-12 2-4 4-4 8 4 2 2 16 - -
Rui Hachimura * 30 3-10 1-6 0-0 2 0 2 0 7 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 14 1-2 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 31 6-13 6-11 2-2 6 3 2 3 20 - -
Gabe Vincent 23 6-14 6-13 2-2 4 1 1 1 20 - -
Jordan Goodwin 11 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 9 1-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Dalton Knecht 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter