Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 67.6% | 32.4% | -4.1 | β (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | β |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -14 (103-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 38 | 10-24 | 2-11 | 3-3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 4-13 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 30 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 7 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 36 | 9-18 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Baylor Scheierman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 34 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 32 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 35 | 8-18 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 17 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cam Spencer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter