Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +2 (111-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 42 | 12-24 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 39 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 27 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 28 | 2-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith * | 34 | 7-16 | 1-8 | 9-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 21 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 21 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter