Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | β (35.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | β |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -39 (109-148). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 27 | 9-17 | 4-5 | 11-13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 11 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 26 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 20 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 12 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 30 | 12-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 22 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie * | 22 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 14 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 9 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vasilije MiciΔ | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter