Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (40.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -42 (106-148). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 26 | 9-14 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 24 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 21 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 24 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Quinten Post | 17 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 9 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 22 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 20 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 26 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 25 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 21 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 20 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 12 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter