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2025-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% - βœ—
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 βœ— (24.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - βœ—
Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 35.8% 64.2% - βœ—

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -21 (124-145). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 37 4-16 2-9 9-11 3 19 2 0 19 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 34 12-21 5-11 7-9 6 0 1 0 36 - -
Dyson Daniels * 33 10-15 0-3 2-2 9 6 5 0 22 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 30 4-8 1-4 4-4 10 3 1 0 13 - -
Mouhamed Gueye * 19 3-5 1-2 2-4 9 1 0 0 9 - -
Caris LeVert 22 4-9 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 2 9 - -
Dominick Barlow 17 2-2 1-1 3-4 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Vít Krejčí 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Terance Mann 14 4-5 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 9 - -
Georges Niang 14 6-11 4-8 1-1 1 1 0 0 17 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 35 8-17 4-9 5-6 6 1 0 0 25 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 11-18 0-1 9-14 9 5 1 0 31 - -
Brook Lopez * 29 2-4 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 1 5 - -
Ryan Rollins * 27 3-6 2-3 2-2 4 5 0 0 10 - -
Taurean Prince * 26 2-5 2-5 1-1 4 0 1 1 7 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 28 2-9 1-6 5-5 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 22 8-12 3-5 9-9 4 5 1 0 28 - -
Pat Connaughton 17 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 11 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 - -
Jamaree Bouyea 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyler Smith 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Pete Nance 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Livingston 2 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter