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2025-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% - βœ“
Margin 73.7% 26.3% -5.7 βœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% - βœ“
Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 77.9% 22.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 67.1% 32.9% - βœ“

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -10 (111-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 40 4-13 3-12 2-3 8 6 0 1 13 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 10-22 2-9 7-7 10 8 0 1 29 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 8-12 5-7 0-0 6 6 0 0 21 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 6-9 1-4 1-2 2 4 0 0 14 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 25 4-11 1-4 2-2 8 1 0 2 11 - -
Luke Kornet 31 7-10 0-0 1-2 16 4 1 0 15 - -
Sam Hauser 23 4-13 3-11 0-0 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Baylor Scheierman 18 2-4 2-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 7 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 37 5-12 4-6 0-0 5 3 1 0 14 - -
Chris Paul * 35 5-8 2-5 0-0 5 5 0 0 12 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 31 4-12 0-4 10-12 8 3 2 0 18 - -
Stephon Castle * 29 7-18 1-7 7-10 2 8 1 0 22 - -
Harrison Barnes * 24 5-11 3-8 0-0 3 2 2 0 13 - -
Keldon Johnson 33 9-12 2-3 3-3 6 3 0 0 23 - -
Blake Wesley 16 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 16 2-5 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Julian Champagnie 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter