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2025-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 10.4% 89.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 18.0% 82.0% - ✓
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.8 ✓ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% - ✓
Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 20.3% 79.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 25.5% 74.5% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +21 (132-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 30 6-13 1-4 3-4 5 7 0 0 16 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 28 6-12 4-9 2-2 4 3 2 0 18 - -
Pascal Siakam * 27 4-11 1-5 2-4 9 1 0 1 11 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 22 3-8 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 1 7 - -
Myles Turner * 20 2-6 0-1 7-10 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Jarace Walker 26 3-8 2-5 2-2 4 4 1 0 10 - -
Obi Toppin 22 5-9 2-6 0-0 3 5 0 2 12 - -
Ben Sheppard 21 3-8 2-6 2-2 4 2 0 1 10 - -
Thomas Bryant 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
T.J. McConnell 12 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 8 - -
Johnny Furphy 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Quenton Jackson 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 - -
Tony Bradley 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 33 8-11 6-7 0-0 5 0 2 1 22 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 31 10-23 3-6 10-12 7 8 1 0 33 - -
Cason Wallace * 30 5-10 2-4 2-2 2 3 2 1 14 - -
Jalen Williams * 29 7-14 0-2 4-5 2 6 0 0 18 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Kenrich Williams 26 4-8 1-2 1-2 8 5 1 0 10 - -
Isaiah Joe 26 7-9 5-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 19 - -
Alex Caruso 18 3-5 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 6 - -
Branden Carlson 12 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 0 1 2 4 - -
Dillon Jones 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 - -
Adam Flagler 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter