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2025-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% - βœ—
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 βœ— (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - βœ—
Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 35.6% 64.4% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% - βœ—

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -7 (127-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 38 8-18 2-9 11-12 8 9 2 0 29 - -
LeBron James * 37 10-21 2-5 3-4 6 8 3 1 25 - -
Austin Reaves * 37 8-16 5-8 10-10 7 8 1 1 31 - -
Rui Hachimura * 28 5-8 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 1 13 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 34 4-9 3-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Gabe Vincent 23 5-7 4-6 1-1 2 1 1 0 15 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 9 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Jordan Goodwin 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalton Knecht 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 32 12-18 5-8 0-0 4 6 2 0 29 - -
Ja Morant * 31 9-23 1-5 3-5 8 10 1 0 22 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 8-13 3-4 5-6 4 1 1 1 24 - -
Zach Edey * 26 7-10 0-0 0-2 11 2 1 3 14 - -
Jaylen Wells * 23 3-8 1-3 4-4 3 3 1 0 11 - -
Santi Aldama 26 4-10 0-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Luke Kennard 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 18 6-8 3-4 1-1 3 5 1 0 16 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Lamar Stevens 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jay Huff 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter