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2025-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 39.0% 61.0% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% -
Log Adjusted 50.7% 49.3% -
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -1 (119-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Dinwiddie * 35 6-11 2-4 0-1 8 11 0 1 14 - -
P.J. Washington * 32 8-15 1-5 2-2 7 2 0 2 19 - -
Kai Jones * 31 7-8 0-0 1-1 7 3 4 2 15 - -
Anthony Davis * 30 7-23 0-4 4-7 7 5 1 2 18 - -
Klay Thompson * 30 6-13 5-10 3-3 1 1 0 0 20 - -
Naji Marshall 26 7-14 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 1 14 - -
Brandon Williams 15 3-8 0-1 6-6 1 3 1 0 12 - -
Max Christie 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Jaden Hardy 8 2-4 1-3 1-1 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Dwight Powell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Caleb Martin 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matas Buzelis * 37 10-17 5-7 3-4 9 6 0 1 28 - -
Coby White * 35 8-16 2-4 7-9 11 2 0 0 25 - -
Kevin Huerter * 32 3-9 1-5 1-2 3 6 0 0 8 - -
Nikola Vučević * 30 9-18 2-5 5-6 9 5 1 0 25 - -
Josh Giddey * 26 3-12 0-3 2-2 8 4 0 2 8 - -
Dalen Terry 26 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 4 1 0 8 - -
Patrick Williams 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Zach Collins 17 5-8 2-4 1-1 7 2 0 0 13 - -
Julian Phillips 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 - -

* = starter