Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -23 (95-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 33 | 11-17 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 23 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 30 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 26 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 28 | 5-14 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 19 | 7-13 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 33 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 20 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Isaiah Stevens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Keshad Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Edwards * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 30 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - | |
| Guerschon Yabusele * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | |
| Adem Bona * | 29 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 22 | - | |
| Jared Butler * | 29 | 7-12 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - | |
| Ricky Council IV | 27 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 20 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Marcus Bagley | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| Jalen Hood-Schifino | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Phillip Wheeler | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter