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2025-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 28.2% 71.8% +5.1 (24.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +30 (121-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 29 4-12 0-1 6-8 13 4 1 0 14 - -
Keegan Murray * 29 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 3 9 - -
Zach LaVine * 28 3-8 1-2 3-3 2 3 0 0 10 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 28 7-11 2-3 5-5 4 1 0 2 21 - -
Keon Ellis * 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Trey Lyles 24 1-4 0-3 2-2 7 1 1 1 4 - -
Malik Monk 22 4-9 1-5 0-2 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Markelle Fultz 13 3-9 0-1 0-0 3 4 3 0 6 - -
Doug McDermott 13 3-7 2-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Isaac Jones 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Jae Crowder 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Crawford 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Devin Carter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 29 9-19 1-5 5-11 6 6 1 0 24 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 24 3-8 1-3 1-1 3 2 2 1 8 - -
Franz Wagner * 23 8-12 2-6 3-4 2 3 0 0 21 - -
Cory Joseph * 22 1-4 1-4 0-0 7 6 1 0 3 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 16 3-4 3-3 3-4 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Anthony Black 25 3-7 1-1 1-1 4 2 2 0 8 - -
Caleb Houstan 25 6-7 6-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 18 - -
Jonathan Isaac 19 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 1 2 0 2 - -
Goga Bitadze 17 5-10 0-1 2-2 10 5 1 1 12 - -
Tristan da Silva 12 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Trevelin Queen 9 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Gary Harris 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Jett Howard 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter