Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +36 (129-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Filipowski * | 34 | 7-12 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Collier * | 31 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Oscar Tshiebwe * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cody Williams * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 23 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Keyonte George | 35 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 22 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Johnny Juzang | 20 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| KJ Martin | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 8 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 31 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 24 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 4 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter