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2025-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.0% 66.0% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (108-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 30 4-20 1-9 2-2 4 6 1 1 11 - -
Mark Williams * 29 9-9 0-0 0-0 12 5 0 1 18 - -
DaQuan Jeffries * 26 6-9 3-5 0-0 5 2 2 1 15 - -
KJ Simpson * 25 5-11 3-5 1-2 2 3 1 0 14 - -
Josh Green * 22 2-7 0-3 1-1 2 1 1 1 5 - -
Seth Curry 26 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 24 2-14 1-5 2-2 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Tidjane Salaün 24 5-8 0-2 2-3 14 1 0 0 12 - -
Jusuf Nurkić 17 1-6 1-1 1-2 6 5 0 0 4 - -
Moussa Diabaté 12 4-6 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 1 9 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamison Battle * 32 1-7 0-5 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 29 3-8 3-7 2-2 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Scottie Barnes * 27 6-14 2-6 4-6 6 6 0 1 18 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 27 6-15 5-8 2-2 1 9 1 0 19 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 26 12-14 0-0 0-1 12 3 0 1 24 - -
Jonathan Mogbo 24 2-8 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 5 - -
Jamal Shead 22 7-16 1-7 2-2 4 4 2 0 17 - -
Orlando Robinson 21 2-5 1-1 0-2 10 1 1 0 5 - -
Cole Swider 19 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 1 5 - -
A.J. Lawson 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 - -

* = starter