Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +11 (133-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 12-24 | 3-8 | 11-13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 34 | 7-17 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 10-18 | 7-11 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 31 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 19 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 18 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter