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2025-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 69.9% 30.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.7 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% -
Log Adjusted 40.6% 59.4% -
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +21 (128-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 37 8-17 3-9 1-1 1 5 0 0 20 - -
Toumani Camara * 33 2-8 2-8 0-0 4 1 4 1 6 - -
Deni Avdija * 32 7-11 4-7 6-7 9 3 1 0 24 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 31 7-15 2-5 6-8 7 0 0 0 22 - -
Donovan Clingan * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 - -
Duop Reath 28 5-11 3-7 4-4 5 1 1 1 17 - -
Scoot Henderson 23 2-8 1-5 1-2 0 6 0 0 6 - -
Matisse Thybulle 18 2-7 1-5 1-2 2 4 3 0 6 - -
Dalano Banton 5 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 4 - -
Kris Murray 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Minaya 1 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Rayan Rupert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jabari Walker 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 13-18 2-5 1-2 2 0 0 0 29 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 6-10 0-1 9-11 2 10 0 0 21 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 34 9-11 1-2 3-4 19 6 1 0 22 - -
Keegan Murray * 33 7-11 2-6 1-1 7 1 0 0 17 - -
Keon Ellis * 31 3-7 2-6 2-3 3 2 6 1 10 - -
Malik Monk 17 6-9 2-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 16 - -
Markelle Fultz 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Trey Lyles 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 11 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 6 - -
Isaac Jones 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Devin Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Crawford 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Terry Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter