Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +21 (125-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 31 | 1-12 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. * | 31 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 9-21 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cam Spencer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 15-25 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 29 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 27 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter