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2025-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% -
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.5% 78.5% -
Log Adjusted 21.5% 78.5% -
Points Off/Def 26.5% 73.5% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +21 (125-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 31 1-12 1-9 0-0 2 6 1 0 3 0 -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 31 5-10 3-5 4-4 10 7 5 0 17 29 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 30 9-21 5-7 4-4 2 4 0 2 27 14 -
Jaylen Wells * 28 3-6 2-5 5-5 5 0 0 0 13 12 -
Santi Aldama * 26 3-9 1-6 3-4 5 5 1 0 10 12 -
Luke Kennard 26 3-4 1-2 2-2 5 1 0 0 9 11 -
Vince Williams Jr. 18 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 7 3 -
Jay Huff 17 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 8 7 -
Zach Edey 17 2-2 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 1 8 12 -
John Konchar 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 -
Lamar Stevens 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Cam Spencer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 33 15-25 0-2 7-9 3 6 3 0 37 24 -
Jalen Williams * 29 6-12 1-1 7-8 5 4 0 0 20 17 -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 29 5-9 0-1 8-8 11 4 2 2 18 28 -
Luguentz Dort * 29 3-8 3-7 0-0 1 5 3 0 9 10 -
Chet Holmgren * 24 2-9 0-4 0-0 9 2 0 0 4 6 -
Cason Wallace 27 4-6 2-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 10 10 -
Isaiah Joe 21 2-6 2-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 7 7 -
Kenrich Williams 20 3-5 1-2 1-1 2 1 0 1 8 7 -
Alex Caruso 10 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 6 6 -
Jaylin Williams 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 4 -
Dillon Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Adam Flagler 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Branden Carlson 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter