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2025-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 72.6% 27.4% - ✓
Margin 83.9% 16.1% -9.1 ✓ (43.9 off)
Pythagorean 68.7% 31.3% - ✓
Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 85.7% 14.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 75.7% 24.3% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards -53 (109-162). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 24 9-15 7-10 4-5 2 6 1 1 29 - -
Pascal Siakam * 22 6-8 1-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 13 - -
Myles Turner * 21 5-7 4-6 3-4 5 2 0 0 17 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 20 2-3 1-2 2-2 4 8 1 0 7 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 18 4-7 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Jarace Walker 24 6-10 4-5 0-0 5 5 0 1 16 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 21 2-7 0-5 6-6 2 1 1 0 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 5-7 0-0 0-0 9 8 0 0 10 - -
Obi Toppin 16 7-9 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 15 - -
Thomas Bryant 13 4-5 2-2 2-2 7 0 0 0 12 - -
Ben Sheppard 12 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Tony Bradley 9 4-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Quenton Jackson 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 7 3 0 5 - -
Johnny Furphy 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Champagnie * 33 6-9 0-2 3-4 7 1 2 0 15 - -
Bub Carrington * 30 5-12 3-6 0-0 4 6 0 1 13 - -
Alex Sarr * 27 8-15 1-4 5-6 7 1 1 1 22 - -
Jordan Poole * 24 6-13 4-8 2-2 0 3 2 0 18 - -
Khris Middleton * 14 3-7 1-3 1-2 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Colby Jones 29 3-7 2-3 4-4 2 2 3 0 12 - -
AJ Johnson 26 1-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Jaylen Martin 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Tristan Vukcevic 14 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Richaun Holmes 13 2-5 0-0 5-6 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Anthony Gill 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter