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2025-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 36.2% 63.8% +3.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% -
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -9 (92-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naji Marshall * 41 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 3 2 0 6 - -
Anthony Davis * 28 5-19 1-5 4-7 7 2 1 0 15 - -
Klay Thompson * 25 5-10 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 24 2-7 0-2 3-4 4 4 2 0 7 - -
Kai Jones * 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -
Max Christie 29 3-6 2-3 4-4 3 2 2 0 12 - -
Brandon Williams 27 6-10 1-1 1-1 3 6 2 0 14 - -
Jaden Hardy 20 7-12 5-6 3-4 3 0 0 0 22 - -
Dwight Powell 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Caleb Martin 17 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 5 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 37 13-21 1-5 8-12 10 4 1 0 35 - -
Franz Wagner * 35 8-21 0-5 4-4 9 2 1 0 20 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 33 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 5-10 1-4 1-1 5 1 0 2 12 - -
Cory Joseph * 21 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Anthony Black 26 5-10 1-4 3-3 3 3 0 2 14 - -
Goga Bitadze 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 1 3 - -
Caleb Houstan 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Gary Harris 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tristan da Silva 6 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jonathan Isaac 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter