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2025-03-27

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 52.9% 47.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (124-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 36 7-15 4-10 4-4 3 4 1 0 22 - -
Chris Paul * 33 2-10 1-4 0-0 4 5 2 0 5 - -
Stephon Castle * 31 9-23 2-5 2-6 11 8 1 0 22 - -
Harrison Barnes * 27 4-8 1-3 1-1 2 2 2 0 10 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 8 - -
Keldon Johnson 27 7-16 1-5 2-2 10 0 2 0 17 - -
Julian Champagnie 24 4-13 3-9 5-5 7 1 0 0 16 - -
Jeremy Sochan 22 5-12 1-3 2-3 5 2 0 1 13 - -
Blake Wesley 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 35 8-18 4-9 5-5 8 14 1 1 25 - -
Jarrett Allen * 30 10-11 0-0 9-11 15 0 1 1 29 - -
Darius Garland * 30 4-15 2-7 0-0 4 9 2 0 10 - -
Max Strus * 28 7-10 4-7 0-0 4 4 0 0 18 - -
Dean Wade * 24 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
De'Andre Hunter 31 6-15 1-7 1-2 7 2 2 1 14 - -
Sam Merrill 24 5-13 3-9 0-0 2 2 0 1 13 - -
Isaac Okoro 19 4-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Javonte Green 8 1-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 - -
Tristan Thompson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter