Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (124-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 36 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 31 | 9-23 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 24 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 22 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 31 | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 30 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 35 | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 30 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Max Strus * | 28 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 31 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 24 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Javonte Green | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter