Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (127-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 38 | 12-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 34 | 5-15 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 34 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 18 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 16-25 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 23 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter