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2025-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% - βœ—
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +2.0 βœ— (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - βœ—
Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 37.3% 62.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% - βœ—

Actual: Indiana Pacers -1 (119-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 37 4-12 0-3 5-5 13 7 1 0 13 - -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 37 11-21 6-10 6-7 7 7 0 1 34 - -
Austin Reaves * 36 8-16 1-8 7-7 4 5 1 0 24 - -
Rui Hachimura * 27 4-5 4-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 18 6-6 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 1 13 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 31 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 1 2 1 11 - -
Gabe Vincent 22 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Goodwin 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Dalton Knecht 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 39 6-9 1-2 3-3 7 3 1 0 16 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 6-12 0-1 3-4 6 2 1 2 15 - -
Myles Turner * 35 6-9 4-5 0-0 12 1 1 1 16 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 31 7-16 1-9 1-1 0 18 2 1 16 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 20 5-9 3-6 0-0 1 2 3 0 13 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 30 7-16 2-5 7-8 5 2 0 0 23 - -
Obi Toppin 18 4-7 2-5 0-1 2 0 0 0 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 11 2-6 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Jarace Walker 7 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Ben Sheppard 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Thomas Bryant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter