Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.1% | 8.9% | -12.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -16 (105-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 32 | 10-23 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 27 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 23 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 38 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 37 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 36 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 36 | 9-15 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz | 10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 4 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Devin Carter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter