Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | β (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | β |
Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (121-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 39 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 38 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 23 | 8-16 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann | 24 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 22 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 19 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 40 | 14-24 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 8-19 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 33 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter