Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +26 (122-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 10-21 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 29 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 23 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 22 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 22 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 16 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 27 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 25 | 9-12 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 24 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter