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2025-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 76.5% 23.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 70.1% 29.9% - ✓
Margin 83.7% 16.3% -9.0 ✓ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% - ✓
Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 72.7% 27.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 72.8% 27.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.9% 38.1% - ✓

Actual: Sacramento Kings -18 (95-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 32 4-9 3-8 1-2 5 8 2 0 12 - -
Jrue Holiday * 31 2-11 1-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 30 5-13 1-4 5-6 8 2 1 2 16 - -
Jayson Tatum * 26 8-15 5-9 4-8 7 8 0 0 25 - -
Jaylen Brown * 25 4-8 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 34 8-18 5-13 1-2 5 2 1 0 22 - -
Baylor Scheierman 28 3-6 3-6 0-0 7 1 2 1 9 - -
Luke Kornet 25 6-7 0-0 1-2 8 3 1 1 13 - -
Drew Peterson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
JD Davison 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Walsh 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Neemias Queta 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 38 9-24 0-4 2-2 3 10 0 1 20 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 6-16 1-5 1-1 5 2 1 0 14 - -
Keon Ellis * 36 5-7 2-4 2-3 3 4 2 0 14 - -
Keegan Murray * 35 5-11 3-5 0-0 5 1 2 0 13 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 32 6-10 0-2 4-5 17 1 0 0 16 - -
Jake LaRavia 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Markelle Fultz 11 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Trey Lyles 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaac Jones 2 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Mason Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Crawford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Terry Taylor 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter