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2025-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% -
Log Adjusted 59.3% 40.7% -
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +2 (108-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 41 8-14 2-6 5-6 10 3 2 0 23 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 12-19 1-2 6-13 10 5 1 0 31 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 33 5-16 2-7 3-4 2 4 1 0 15 - -
Taurean Prince * 28 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Ryan Rollins * 25 2-3 1-2 3-3 3 3 1 0 8 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 30 6-12 4-8 3-3 4 2 2 0 19 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 22 2-9 1-5 0-0 4 3 3 0 5 - -
AJ Green 20 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 39 7-18 0-5 5-5 7 12 0 0 19 - -
Kevin Durant * 37 11-21 7-9 9-10 8 5 0 3 38 - -
Ryan Dunn * 29 5-7 2-4 0-1 9 0 0 0 12 - -
Nick Richards * 28 4-8 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 1 10 - -
Collin Gillespie * 21 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 6 - -
Tyus Jones 25 4-8 0-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Oso Ighodaro 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Cody Martin 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Royce O'Neale 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Grayson Allen 11 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter