🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% - ✓
Margin 78.3% 21.7% -7.0 ✓ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% - ✓
Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.0% 39.0% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards -8 (104-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ochai Agbaji * 29 3-10 1-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Scottie Barnes * 27 5-16 0-5 3-4 10 8 3 2 13 - -
Jamison Battle * 26 4-9 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 11 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 25 10-13 0-0 1-2 11 1 2 3 21 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 25 5-16 3-9 8-8 4 7 1 1 21 - -
Jonathan Mogbo 24 3-7 0-1 2-4 11 2 2 0 8 - -
A.J. Lawson 22 3-7 1-3 1-2 2 2 2 0 8 - -
Jamal Shead 19 5-10 1-4 3-5 2 3 1 0 14 - -
Orlando Robinson 18 1-7 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Colin Castleton 18 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Sarr * 31 6-19 1-7 3-9 5 2 1 3 16 - -
Bub Carrington * 30 6-15 1-6 2-3 11 6 2 0 15 - -
Khris Middleton * 21 2-7 0-2 5-5 2 5 1 0 9 - -
Jordan Poole * 21 8-13 5-9 2-2 1 1 1 1 23 - -
Kyshawn George * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
AJ Johnson 28 5-9 1-2 6-6 6 3 1 0 17 - -
Colby Jones 26 0-4 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 2 2 - -
Tristan Vukcevic 23 4-9 2-4 1-3 4 1 0 1 11 - -
Justin Champagnie 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 - -
JT Thor 16 2-5 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 1 5 - -
Marcus Smart 12 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 1 2 0 6 - -
Jaylen Martin 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter