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2025-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% - βœ“
Margin 38.2% 61.8% +2.7 βœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 50.0% 50.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 49.9% 50.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% - βœ“

Actual: Orlando Magic +12 (118-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 38 9-23 4-10 10-11 7 7 1 0 32 - -
LeBron James * 37 9-18 0-3 6-7 6 7 0 0 24 - -
Austin Reaves * 35 7-16 1-6 3-4 6 4 0 0 18 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 35 5-7 4-6 0-0 7 0 2 0 14 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Rui Hachimura 23 2-4 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Gabe Vincent 20 2-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 4 - -
Jordan Goodwin 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 - -
Dalton Knecht 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Trey Jemison III 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 39 9-17 2-6 10-12 7 1 0 1 30 - -
Franz Wagner * 38 13-26 3-10 3-3 5 9 1 0 32 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 33 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 4-10 1-3 3-4 8 0 0 0 12 - -
Cory Joseph * 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 5 0 0 5 - -
Anthony Black 30 7-10 3-5 0-0 5 6 1 1 17 - -
Caleb Houstan 17 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Jonathan Isaac 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 1 2 - -
Goga Bitadze 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Gary Harris 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 1 1 - -
Tristan da Silva 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter