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2025-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 77.0% 23.0% -
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% -
Margin 65.1% 34.9% -3.4 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Log Adjusted 54.9% 45.1% -
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +16 (119-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 34 8-12 0-0 0-0 16 3 0 0 16 - -
Anthony Edwards * 34 7-19 1-11 2-3 2 4 1 0 17 - -
Julius Randle * 23 3-7 0-2 3-5 6 2 0 0 9 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 6 - -
Mike Conley * 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 5 1 1 7 - -
Naz Reid 26 8-13 3-6 1-2 3 2 0 0 20 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 23 2-7 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 23 4-13 1-7 0-0 9 4 0 0 9 - -
Jaylen Clark 18 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 1 6 - -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Rob Dillingham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Minott 2 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Luka Garza 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Bones Hyland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 32 3-7 0-1 0-0 3 5 2 0 6 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 6-16 0-3 2-2 6 4 0 0 14 - -
Myles Turner * 29 3-10 1-5 0-0 9 1 2 4 7 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 29 9-16 3-7 3-3 4 11 1 1 24 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 24 7-9 3-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 17 - -
Obi Toppin 23 7-10 6-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 20 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 22 3-8 0-3 5-5 6 2 1 0 11 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 5-10 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 10 - -
Ben Sheppard 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Thomas Bryant 10 1-5 0-3 4-4 2 0 2 0 6 - -
Jarace Walker 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Johnny Furphy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Quenton Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter