Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -5 (111-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 15-28 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 38 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 23 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 41 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 36 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 35 | 8-22 | 3-12 | 11-14 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter