Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✓ (33.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -34 (89-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 29 | 11-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 19 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 23 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 19 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 16 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 30 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 29 | 8-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead * | 27 | 7-14 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Colin Castleton * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 26 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 24 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 22 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 21 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter