Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (122-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Smith Jr. * | 38 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-7 | 3-3 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 34 | 6-19 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Tidjane Salaün | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - | |
| KJ Simpson | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Seth Curry | 15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - | |
| Moussa Diabaté | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 39 | 11-19 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 22 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 16-21 | 6-8 | 4-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 42 | 32 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 35 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 35 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 8 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter