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2025-03-23

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% -
Bradley-Terry 14.9% 85.1% -
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 30.7% 69.3% -
Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 15.9% 84.1% -
Points Off/Def 22.4% 77.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +6 (136-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 36 16-28 5-12 3-5 5 7 1 0 40 - -
Bruce Brown * 35 5-9 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 12 - -
Jose Alvarado * 27 4-8 2-3 0-0 4 8 2 0 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 24 4-7 1-3 1-2 5 8 0 2 10 - -
Karlo Matković * 16 4-7 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 8 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 31 4-6 3-5 2-2 6 8 0 0 13 - -
Jordan Hawkins 30 8-13 6-11 3-3 3 2 0 0 25 - -
Keion Brooks Jr. 20 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 2 5 - -
Jamal Cain 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 4 - -
Antonio Reeves 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schröder * 34 4-12 1-5 7-8 1 5 2 0 16 - -
Tobias Harris * 32 7-15 0-4 0-0 3 4 1 0 14 - -
Malik Beasley * 29 4-11 4-6 1-1 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Jalen Duren * 29 8-11 0-0 6-9 12 2 0 0 22 - -
Ausar Thompson * 9 0-0 0-0 5-6 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Ronald Holland II 35 10-14 1-3 5-11 5 6 1 0 26 - -
Marcus Sasser 26 6-9 3-4 5-5 1 2 1 0 20 - -
Simone Fontecchio 18 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Stewart 18 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 2 9 - -
Lindy Waters III 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter