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2025-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% - βœ—
Margin 64.5% 35.5% -3.3 βœ— (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - βœ—
Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 66.5% 33.5% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 56.9% 43.1% - βœ—

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (124-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 37 7-15 1-7 10-14 4 8 1 0 25 - -
Brandin Podziemski * 36 6-14 5-8 2-2 8 4 1 0 19 - -
Draymond Green * 35 2-7 1-4 0-0 6 6 3 1 5 - -
Moses Moody * 34 7-13 3-8 3-3 4 5 2 1 20 - -
Quinten Post * 27 4-6 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 11 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 21 6-14 1-4 3-3 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Buddy Hield 16 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Gary Payton II 16 5-7 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Gui Santos 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevon Looney 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 4 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 3 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 35 5-9 2-5 0-0 11 6 3 0 12 - -
Trae Young * 35 9-15 1-4 6-7 5 10 1 0 25 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 33 10-16 2-3 0-0 12 6 0 2 22 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 29 5-10 2-5 2-3 2 0 1 0 14 - -
Mouhamed Gueye * 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Caris LeVert 24 6-11 1-5 1-3 2 6 0 0 14 - -
Georges Niang 22 8-11 6-9 1-2 2 2 0 0 23 - -
Terance Mann 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Dominick Barlow 14 2-4 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Vít Krejčí 12 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 6 0 0 3 - -

* = starter