Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | β (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | β |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +19 (128-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 33 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 10-12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 27 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vlatko ΔanΔar | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 38 | 12-16 | 4-6 | 8-9 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 38 | 10-22 | 1-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson * | 19 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 32 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 29 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter